نوع مدرک: متون چاپی سرشناسه Friedman ، Walter A. (1962-)، نویسنده شماره بازیابی : HC102.5 .A2 F76 2014 عنوان : Fortune tellers تکرار نام مولف : Walter A. Friedman. ناشر: Princeton : Princeton University Press سال نشر : [2014] صفحه شمار: xi, 273 pages ویژگی : illustrations ابعاد : 25 cm شابک/شاپا 9780691159119 (hbk. : alk. paper) یادداشت Includes bibliographical references (pages 217-260) and index. موضوعها : اصفا
Economic forecastingHistory.United States ؛ Business forecastingHistory.United States ؛ EconomistsUnited States ؛ BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economic History. ؛ BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Forecasting.چکیده : "The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic forecasters, pioneers who sought to use the tools of science to predict the future, with the aim of profiting from their forecasts. This book chronicles the lives and careers of the men who defined this first wave of economic fortune tellers, men such as Roger Babson, Irving Fisher, John Moody, C. J. Bullock, and Warren Persons. They competed to sell their distinctive methods of prediction to investors and businesses, and thrived in the boom years that followed World War I. Yet, almost to a man, they failed to predict the devastating crash of 1929.Walter Friedman paints vivid portraits of entrepreneurs who shared a belief that the rational world of numbers and reason could tame--or at least foresee--the irrational gyrations of the market. Despite their failures, this first generation of economic forecasters helped to make the prediction of economic trends a central economic activity, and shed light on the mechanics of financial markets by providing a range of statistics and information about individual firms. They also raised questions that are still relevant today. What is science and what is merely guesswork in forecasting? What motivates people to buy forecasts? Does the act of forecasting set in motion unforeseen events that can counteract the forecast made? Masterful and compelling, Fortune Tellers highlights the risk and uncertainty that are inherent to capitalism itself"-- لینک ثابت رکورد: ../opac/index.php?lvl=record_display&id=6039 زبان مدرک : English
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شماره ثبت شماره بازیابی نام عام مواد محل نگهداری بخش وضعیت ثبت وضعیت امانت 7384 HC102.5 .A2 F76 2014 کتاب الکترونیکی لاتین موسسه آموزش عالی بینالود مدیریت صنعتی اسناد معمولی موجود
نوع مدرک: متون چاپی سرشناسه Schmidt ، Peter ; Sickles, Robin ; Horrace, William C. شماره بازیابی : HB139 .F47 2014 عنوان : Festschrift in honor of Peter Schmidt تکرار نام مولف : ؛Robin C. Sickles, William C. Horrace, editors. صفحه شمار: 409 pages ویژگی : illustrations (some color) ابعاد : 24cm شابک/شاپا 1489980075 (hbk.) یادداشت "Conference in Honor of Peter Schmidt, June 30-July 2, 2011)"--Page 1.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 402-403) and index.شناسه افزوده : Schmidt ، Peter (1947-) Sickles, Robin Horrace, William C. موضوعها : اصفا
Econometrics ؛ College teachersUnited States ؛ EconomistsUnited Statesلینک ثابت رکورد: ../opac/index.php?lvl=record_display&id=6016 زبان مدرک : English
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شماره ثبت شماره بازیابی نام عام مواد محل نگهداری بخش وضعیت ثبت وضعیت امانت 7361 HB139 .F47 2014 کتاب الکترونیکی لاتین موسسه آموزش عالی بینالود مدیریت صنعتی اسناد معمولی موجود